Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000765 0.000819 0.000876 0.000940 0.001011 0.001087 0.001175
2026-01-11 0.000679 0.000752 0.000832 0.000927 0.001038 0.001164 0.001319
2026-01-18 0.000625 0.000709 0.000805 0.000923 0.001065 0.001234 0.001451
2026-01-25 0.000668 0.000778 0.000907 0.001074 0.001285 0.001547 0.001905
2026-02-01 0.000613 0.000724 0.000858 0.001034 0.001264 0.001559 0.001975
2026-02-08 0.000571 0.000683 0.000821 0.001006 0.001253 0.001579 0.002055
2026-02-15 0.000541 0.000656 0.000798 0.000994 0.001261 0.001622 0.002169
2026-02-22 0.000510 0.000624 0.000769 0.000969 0.001249 0.001637 0.002240
2026-03-01 0.000478 0.000590 0.000733 0.000934 0.001220 0.001623 0.002267
2026-03-08 0.000458 0.000570 0.000715 0.000922 0.001221 0.001654 0.002362
2026-03-15 0.000437 0.000548 0.000694 0.000905 0.001215 0.001670 0.002436
2026-03-22 0.000408 0.000514 0.000653 0.000858 0.001160 0.001611 0.002380
2026-03-29 0.000383 0.000486 0.000624 0.000828 0.001135 0.001602 0.002421
2026-04-05 0.000366 0.000469 0.000608 0.000817 0.001138 0.001639 0.002546
2026-04-12 0.000353 0.000456 0.000597 0.000813 0.001151 0.001692 0.002705
2026-04-19 0.000380 0.000500 0.000670 0.000940 0.001381 0.002129 0.003649
2026-04-26 0.000359 0.000475 0.000641 0.000907 0.001347 0.002109 0.003693
2026-05-03 0.000342 0.000456 0.000619 0.000883 0.001327 0.002110 0.003783
2026-05-10 0.000330 0.000443 0.000606 0.000873 0.001330 0.002151 0.003964
2026-05-17 0.000316 0.000426 0.000587 0.000852 0.001312 0.002154 0.004061
2026-05-24 0.000301 0.000407 0.000563 0.000823 0.001277 0.002120 0.004068
2026-05-31 0.000291 0.000396 0.000551 0.000813 0.001276 0.002152 0.004235
2026-06-07 0.000281 0.000384 0.000538 0.000798 0.001267 0.002166 0.004360